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03/06/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Bruins closed out their pre-Olympic break schedule with excellent play on the road, something the team hopes carries over when it opens up a season-long seven-game trek with this afternoon's matchup with the New York Islanders from Nassau Coliseum.
Boston won all four tests of a away swing from February 7-13 to put itself back into the thick of the Eastern Conference playoff race, but dropped a 4-1 home decision to rival Montreal on Tuesday in its first outing back from the NHL's extended hiatus for the Winter Olympics. The Bruins were able to bounce back on Thursday, however, by claming a 3-2 shootout victory over visiting Toronto on Miroslav Satan's goal in the third round.
Satan, who also accounted for the game's first goal in the first period, beat Maple Leafs goaltender Jean-Sebastien Giguere on a nifty deke to the backhand to put Boston ahead in the deciding phase, and netminder Tim Thomas stoned all three Toronto skaters he faced -- including former Bruin Phil Kessel -- during the shootout in his first start since February 2.
Thomas had 24 saves in regulation and overtime while subbing for Tuukka Rask, who sat out the contest due to a knee injury suffered in the Montreal game.
"I didn't take any extra pleasure because it was Phil," said Thomas when asked about stopping his ex-teammate in the shootout. I needed to get a win, our team needed to get a win. It's been a long time since we had a win at home."
The Bruins had lost 10 in a row (0-7-3) at TD Garden since a 4-0 shutout of Atlanta on December 30. The team's last win at home occurred at Fenway Park on New Year's Day, when Boston edged Philadelphia in the Winter Classic.
With Rask termed as day-to-day, Thomas will likely get a second straight start between the pipes today. The previously-struggling 2008-09 Vezina Trophy recipient owns a 7-4-1 record with a 2.00 goals against average in 12 career starts versus the Islanders, although he saved just 16-of-19 chances in a 4-3 overtime loss at Nassau Coliseum on December 12.
Boston may have leading scorer Patrice Bergeron back in the lineup this afternoon after the talented center took part in the team's morning skate on Thursday. The 24-year-old is dealing with a groin pull he sustained while competing for Canada in the recent Olympics and missed the Bruins' first two tilts after the Vancouver Games.
The Bruins, who have compiled a respectable 14-10-5 record on the road this season, enter today's play in seventh place in the Eastern Conference with 67 points, one more than Atlanta, Montreal and the New York Rangers.
The Islanders started off strong after the league stoppage, besting Western Division co-leader Chicago by a 5-3 count Tuesday at the Coliseum, but couldn't sustain the momentum in a 6-3 road loss to Atlanta two nights later. The Thrashers erupted for four first-period goals, three of which came in the game's initial 10 minutes.
New York netminder Dwayne Roloson was pulled just 9:16 in after surrendering three goals on only seven shots, while backup Martin Biron stopped just 12- of-15 chances the rest of the way.
"In that first period, it felt like everything they shot went in," said Islanders head coach Scott Gordon.
Tim Jackman and Rob Schremp each pumped in a power-play goal for the Islanders, who will play four of their next five games at home and are presently six points out of a playoff spot in the East.
New York has won two of its three previous meetings with the Bruins this season, but Boston is 7-1-1 over the last nine bouts in the series and has gone 3-0-1 at the Coliseum during that stretch.
<< Bobcats hope to stay on track vs. Warriors
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Charlotte Bobcats are coming off a huge win over the
defending champion Los Angeles Lakers, and hope to stay within striking
distance of a playoff spot when they resume a three-game homestand tonight
versus
<< Hawks, Heat get together in south Florida
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Southeast Division rivals meet in Miami Saturday night as
the Heat play host to the Atlanta Hawks.
The Heat, who are currently holding on to the eighth and final playoff spot in
the Eastern Conference, are coming off th
<< Nets begin road swing at New York
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After losing all three games on a recent homestand, the New
Jersey Nets kick off a five-game road trip tonight against the local rival New
York Knicks at historic Madison Square Garden.
New Jersey will also make stops in M
<< Mavs try to push win streak to 11 in Chicago
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The red-hot Dallas Mavericks will try to stretch their
season-high winning streak to 11 games tonight, when they open a short road
trip against the Chicago Bulls at the United Center.
The Mavs will also visit Min
Rangers brace for test from high-powered Caps >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - After struggling to keep the opposition off the scoreboard
their most recent time out, the New York Rangers now have to face the NHL's
most potent offense in tonight's showdown with the powerful Washington
Capitals from the V
Thrashers' playoff push resumes in Tampa >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Atlanta Thrashers will shoot for a third straight
victory when they visit the struggling Tampa Bay Lightning tonight at St. Pete
Times Forum.
The Thrashers have won two straight since the NHL came back from the Olympic
Revamped Coyotes host Ducks in Pacific clash >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Phoenix Coyotes will try to record consecutive wins
when they welcome the Anaheim Ducks for tonight's Pacific Division battle at
Jobing.com Arena.
The Coyotes were dealt their third straight loss when they emerged from
Blues hope to keep flying high in trip to Colorado >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The St. Louis Blues are in position to record their longest
winning streak in over six years, but to reach that mark they'll have to find
a way to halt their struggles versus the Colorado Avalanche this season.
St. Louis g
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
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Teams that should be in: Stanford
Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.
Should be in:
Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.
| Southeastern Conference odds | |
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.
Work left to do: Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney. Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson. Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable. Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile. |
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