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11/09/2007 - Rotterdam, Netherlands (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ajax and Feyenoord clash Sunday as the top two teams in the Eredivisie for the first time in 13 years, adding a little more fire to an already heated rivalry.
Ajax is the lone unbeaten after 10 league matches, but Feyenoord has one more win, equal points and is second only on goal differential.
On the field is not the only concern for each side as a turbulent history has surrounded the rivalry for many years, most notably the death of two Ajax fans in 1997.
With a history of derogatory chants and other violence, both clubs have warned that banning visiting fans may be the only solution if problems continue.
All the clubs want to worry about Sunday is deciding which side will sit atop the league headed into an international break for EURO 2008 qualifiers.
Feyenoord (8-2-0) needs a victory to take over the top spot, but although it's a huge rivalry, manager Bert van Marwijk cautioned it's just one match.
"It's a special match of course, but on the other hand we can only get three points like every other week," he said. "If we then won all our games we'd be champions after all."
Feyenoord has relied on its defense this season, posting seven shutouts so far after allowing 66 goals in 34 games last season. The defense faces its biggest test against Ajax, which has scored a league-high 31 goals.
Ajax has been led by striker Klaas-Jan Huntelaar, who has 11 goals in 10 games this season. Luis Suarez has chipped in seven goals.
"Ajax is very strong in attack," van Marwijk said.
Roy Makaay leads Feyenoord with six goals.
Feyenoord could welcome back Andwele Slory, who has been out since the first match of the season, and Chun-Soo Lee and Kevin Hofland may also play larger roles.
Feyenoord has just one victory in its last five home games against Ajax, and just two wins in the last 10 games in the series.
Ajax has continued to play well under coach Ardie Koster, who was forced into the managing role when Henk ten Cate left to join Chelsea earlier this season.
Koster, who only joined the club in 2006, knows playing at Feyenoord is a big challenge.
"Feyenoord are a solid team, a good collective," Koster said. "At home they have not conceded a goal yet. But we always create opportunities. We have to prevent that Feyenoord lull us to sleep, after which their forwards strike.
"I am really looking forward to it."
On Friday, Jhonny van Beukering, Jeremain Lens and Muslu Nalbantoglu scored as NEC defeated Heracles, 3-0.
On Saturday, Twente hosts NAC, Graafschap hosts Excelsior, Venlo hosts Sparta and Willem II hosts Utrecht.
Also on Sunday, PSV hosts AZ, Vitesse hosts Heerenveen and Roda hosts Groningen.
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In any football or basketball game (the main sports that use point spreads) there are two teams playing against each other.
Those teams, though, are rarely exactly evenly matched – meaning that typically one team has a better chance than the other to win the game. If bettors were allowed to bet on who was simply going to win the game, smart ones would obviously bet on the better team (likely winning more than 50% of the time in the process).
If winning were that easy the Las Vegas and online sportsbooks would stop taking any bets! This is where the point spread comes in: the basic function of the point spread is to balance the likelihood of each team “winning” by adjusting the final score by the point spread. After this adjustment is made you get the Against The Spread result (ATS result for short).
Let’s look at Super Bowl XXXIX, New England Patriots vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Most people believed the defending champ Patriots to be the better team – so if betting were simply based upon which team would win the game, an uneven majority of people would have wagered on New England. But, by using the point spread, the bookmakers adjusted the terms of the bet, evening the proposition so about half the people believed the Pats to be the smart bet, while the other half considered Philly to be the smart bet.
New England Patriots -7 vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The better team, called the Favorite, is expected to win the game and must “give” or “lay” points to the weaker team. The favorite is listed with a minus sign and the number of points they are favored by (e.g., New England -7)
In the case of our example, New England must not only win the game, but they must win by more than 7 points for Pats bettors to have a winning ATS result. An Eagles bettor wins his bet either if:
There was also the possibility that the final score could land exactly on the spread number (for example, the Pats winning 28-21 when -7), which is called a “push” or “no action” and a refund is then issued to bettors of both teams.
The same game with the same point spread can be considered from the weaker team’s perspective: The Underdog (Philly in the case of our example) is not expected to win the game and online football betting thus receives or “gets” points given by the stronger team. When a game is stated from the underdog’s perspective the team is listed with a plus sign and the number of points they are underdogs by:
Philadelphia Eagles +7 vs. New England Patriots
Keep in mind that Philadelphia +7 and New England -7 is the same point spread on the same game, simply stated differently. The first is from the underdog’s perspective; the later is from the favorite’s.
Not a must, but for some a mathematical approach is insightful. You can determine the ATS winner by either:
Let’s look at the actual result of Super Bowl XXXIX: New England 24 Philadelphia 21
The favorite, New England, won the game but not by more than the point spread they were favored by (7), so the ATS result was a LOSS for Pats bettors.
Looking at it from the underdog’s perspective, Philly did not win the game, but they lost by less than the point spread (7), so the ATS result was a WIN for Eagle bettors.
Mathematically considered, 24 for the favorite Pats minus 7 equals 17, which is less than the 20 the Eagles scored, so the underdog Eagles win the ATS result (or you could figure 20 plus 7 equals 27 for the Eagles, which is more than 24 for the Pats).
Emily’s boyfriend understood the point spread and wagered $100 on the Eagles at +7. The Eagles may not have gotten a Super Bowl ring, but since they won the ATS result Emily’s boyfriend cashed his bet – giving him money to take her out to a nice dinner.
And now hopefully you understand how to read point spreads, putting you one step closer to joining the fun of sports betting.
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